LCV volumes and values pick up late 2019

Van parked at Manheim ready for auction

Vendors and buyers saw a month-on-month increase in volumes, values and conversion rates at Manheim in a positive conclusion to a turbulent year, says Cox Automotive.

Manheim reports overall used van sold volume increase by 2% on 2018 results, surging 8% month-on-month in December.

First time conversion rates jumped 1.7% month-on-month in December, to 82.6%, with four fifths of vans at Manheim sold on the first time of asking during 2019 – a 3.8% improvement on 2018 figures.

Meanwhile, performance against the guide prices was also strong, at 97.66% in December, up 0.77% on the previous month.  

There was little change in the average age and mileage of vehicles between November and December; however, both metrics were up overall compared with 2018, reflecting the stockpiling and delayed replacement cycles which took place in the early part of the year.

Matthew Davock, Manheim’s director of commercial vehicles, said: “The robust run-up to the festive period looks set to continue into 2020, with strong demand throughout January reflecting overall retail positivity. This is likely to be coupled with a seasonal shortage of supply, as vendors wait to the end of the month, or even into February, before picking up their de-fleet activity.”

As noted in previous months, the upgrade to Euro 6 marked a key shift for 2019, with many lease providers taking the opportunity to upgrade their vans to meet the current and forthcoming ULEZ and CAZ charging zones, while early adopters looked to replace their ageing Euro 4and 5 fleets.

By year end, Euro 6 represented almost a quarter (24%) of average sold volume.

Online sales penetration continued to remain high, with 41% of LCVs sold in December going to an online bidder, matching an overall trend for the year of 42% of vehicles changing hands via Buy Now or Simulcast online transactions.

Looking just at Simulcast, the online/physical split at auction hovered around 33% online compared with 67% in the lanes. 

Davock added: “The availability of stock 24/7/365 continues to be a significance draw for many of our buyers, who expect to be able to do business on their terms. With customers looking to purchase day and night, year-round, retailers are showing strong demand for transacting and sourcing stock online.” 

Looking ahead, Davock expects political and economic factors will continue to drive fluctuations in the new and used van markets.

He said: “Many of the questions over tariffs, legislation, taxation and CAZ implementation with plagued operators in 2019 have not yet been resolved.

“We can assume, therefore, that we will see an overall positive trend towards volumes and activity; however, with the caveat that significant percentage swings remain likely to respond to an ever-evolving business environment.”

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